High P/E Ratios : Illusions of Future Returns

BY N PRASHANT CHOWDARY

You pay 50 times earnings for a company that grows 15% a year, you need almost 20 years of that growth just to break even on your original investment. The P/E ratio of any company that’s fairly priced will equal its growth rate. Anything higher and you’re paying for hope.” – Peter Lynch

“If the P/E is low, you don’t need high earnings growth to get the same upside. The multiple expansion on the low P/E stock towards a more normal P/E will provide a big chunk of the return.” –John Neff

Investors consistently pay 50-100 times earnings for companies growing earnings at 20-25% a year, assuming that growth will continue indefinitely. History shows that almost no company can compound earnings at those rates for more than 8-10 years. When the inevitable slowdown comes, the multiple contracts sharply and the stock plummets – often by 70-90%.” – David Dreman

ETERNAL LIMITED: P/E RATIO:1589

A food delivery company has P/E ratio of 1589. Everyone in the houses should stop cooking food and order from Zomato to sustain these levels of p/e to increase its revenue

High P/E Ratios : Illusions of Future Returns

Trent limited: P/E RATIO :95

Even after stock has fallen by 47 percentage from its all time high it still has a P/E ratio of 95. At the peak of the price stock p/e went to 527 for a simple cloth shop ZUDIO.

High P/E Ratios : Illusions of Future Returns

ADANI TOTAL GAS: P/E RATIO :107

For its competitor a government owned company Petronet Lng Ltd its p/e ratio is 11.2. Gas is a classic pump and dump scheme.

High P/E Ratios : Illusions of Future Returns

AVENUE SUPERMARKET LTD: P/E RATIO 96.2

The famous Dmart which has an operating margin of 6-7 percentage on the daily essentials on the human need has once reached 313.9 pe ratio and now it is slowly eaten away by dark stores.

High P/E Ratios : Illusions of Future Returns

If you look in to the rear-view mirror. Markets are supposed to reflect expectation of the future returns. When GDP of India grows at 6.5 percentage points, revenues of nifty 50 companies rose a mere 7 per cent, operating profits grew 13 percent, and net profit by just 9 per cent. How can the stock justify high p/e ratio?

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